Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Ernesto Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-17 22:37:34



000
WTNT25 KNHC 180237
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
0300 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  63.3W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  63.3W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  63.6W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.3N  62.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 37.9N  61.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.3N  58.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.7N  53.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 47.7N  46.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 170SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.4N  36.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 190SE 170SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N  63.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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