Tropical Storm Ernesto Forecast Advisory

000
WTNT25 KNHC 181442
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052024
1500 UTC SUN AUG 18 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N  62.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 110SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 180SW 230NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N  62.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  62.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.1N  58.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.6N  53.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 48.0N  46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 170SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 50.5N  35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 170SE 160SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 52.1N  23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N  62.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN