Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 062051
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
2100 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.3W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 110SE 120SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 150SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.3W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 115.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.6N 117.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.5N 119.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.9N 122.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.2N 127.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 23.1N 132.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.1N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 115.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/HOGSETT