Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 060243
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
0300 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 114.3W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE  80SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 150SE 150SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 114.3W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 114.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N 117.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.2N 119.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.2N 122.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.0N 124.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.4N 129.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.5N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 114.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/ROBERTS