Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 050858
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
0900 UTC MON AUG 05 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 114.1W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 114.1W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.3N 114.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.3N 115.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.4N 116.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.9N 118.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.3N 120.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 21.6N 125.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.1N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 114.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI