Tropical Storm Emilia Forecast Advisory

395 
WTPZ25 KNHC 070846
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052024
0900 UTC WED AUG 07 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.4W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 120SE 110SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 210SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.4W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.9N 117.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 123.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.1N 125.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.7N 127.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 129.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 24.2N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 24.5N 137.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 116.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI