Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 030258 CCA
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0300 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022

CORRECTED TIME OF NEXT ADVISORY

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  60.3W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  60.3W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  59.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.9N  62.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.5N  63.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N  65.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.5N  67.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.2N  67.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 23.3N  67.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.7N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  60.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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