Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Debby Wind Speed Probabilities

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-06 16:44:59



530 
FONT14 KNHC 062044
PWSAT4

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042024               
2100 UTC TUE AUG 06 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)

ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)

CHARLOTTESVIL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DANVILLE VA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)  10(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  1   5( 6)   5(11)   5(16)   1(17)   1(18)   X(18)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  1   2( 3)   5( 8)  19(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)

NEW RIVER NC   34  4  13(17)  10(27)   7(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  5  16(21)  10(31)   8(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)

SURF CITY NC   34 15  25(40)  14(54)   9(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)
SURF CITY NC   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WILMINGTON NC  34  4  16(20)  13(33)   9(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 53  19(72)   8(80)   3(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

FLORENCE SC    34  3   5( 8)   9(17)  15(32)   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)

COLUMBIA SC    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)  10(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)

LITTLE RIVER   34 62  15(77)   6(83)   4(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   6( 6)   6(12)   6(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
LITTLE RIVER   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  1   6( 7)   7(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CHARLESTON SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CHARLESTON SC  50  3   6( 9)   4(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAVANNAH GA    34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

KINGS BAY GA   34  3   3( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PATRICK AFB    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



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