Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Darby Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 092116 CCA
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
2100 UTC SAT JUL 09 2022

CORRECTED GUST VALUE AT CURRENT TIME

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.5W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.5W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 112.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.4N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.5N 118.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.4N 121.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.4N 124.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.6N 127.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.0N 129.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.2N 133.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.6N 138.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 113.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN




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