Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Darby Forecast Advisory


540 
WTPZ25 KNHC 100238
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
0300 UTC SUN JUL 10 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 114.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.4N 117.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.4N 120.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.4N 122.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.5N 125.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 127.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 129.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 16.6N 134.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/FLYNN





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