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FONT13 KNHC 022035
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032022
2100 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
RALEIGH NC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ROCKY MT NC 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 9 33(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CHERRY PT NC 34 35 6(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
NEW RIVER NC 34 34 18(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
NEW RIVER NC 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 42 11(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SURF CITY NC 34 57 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
SURF CITY NC 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
FLORENCE SC 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 28 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 21 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI