Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Celia Forecast Advisory


887 
WTPZ23 KNHC 212033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
2100 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.3W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.3W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 100.8W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.0N 102.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.7N 104.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.3N 107.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.2N 115.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 101.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





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