Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Celia Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 232033
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
2100 UTC THU JUN 23 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 106.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 106.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 106.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.1N 109.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.4N 110.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.9N 111.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.6N 112.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 118.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.1N 123.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 106.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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