Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Celia Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 231436
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
1500 UTC THU JUN 23 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 106.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 106.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.6W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.6N 107.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.0N 108.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.3N 109.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...160NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.8N 110.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.1N 113.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 117.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.4N 122.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 106.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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