Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Celia Forecast Advisory


022 
WTPZ23 KNHC 230835
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0900 UTC THU JUN 23 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.2W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.2W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 106.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.9N 108.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.2N 109.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.5N 110.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.1N 113.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.3N 117.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 21.3N 121.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 105.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI





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