Tropical Storm Carlotta Public Advisory

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 010836
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032024
200 AM MST Thu Aug 01 2024

...CARLOTTA STRENGTHENS...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 109.9W
ABOUT 395 MI...630 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was 
located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 109.9 West. Carlotta is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion 
is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the west on 
Friday and a continued westward motion through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of 
days, and Carlotta is expected to become a hurricane later today or 
tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta will affect the coasts of
west-central mainland Mexico and the southern Baja California
peninsula beginning later today. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the
weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart