395 WTPZ33 KNHC 010241 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032024 800 PM MST Wed Jul 31 2024 ...CARLOTTA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 108.9W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 108.9 West. Carlotta is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so followed by a turn to the west by Friday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Carlotta is now anticipated to become a hurricane by Thursday evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are expected to affect the coasts of west-central mainland Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula beginning Thursday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through the weekend. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
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