Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Storm Carlotta Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-02 04:46:23



097 
WTPZ23 KNHC 020846
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
0900 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 113.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 115.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 117.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 120.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 122.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 124.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.2N 126.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 113.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART





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