Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Calvin Wind Speed Probabilities



909 
FOPA11 PHFO 181439
PWSCP1

TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  28           
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP032023         
1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BUOY 51004     34 37   2(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
BUOY 51004     50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 154W       34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

HILO           34  X  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

18N 156W       34  X  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SOUTH POINT    34  X  33(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

KAHULUI        34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

21N 158W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HANA           34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LANAI CITY     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)  13(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)  11(11)   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON                                                  



Source link