132 WTPZ42 KNHC 251128 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Bud Special Discussion Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022024 430 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2024 Recent surface observations from the Mexican Navy station on Isla Clarion reported sustained winds of 49 kt with a pressure of 1004 mb as Bud passed to the south of the station. Given that ASCAT from a few hours ago showed vectors as high as 44 kt, the observations from the island are consistent. The only change to the NHC forecast is to increase the forecast wind speed through the 24-hour point, due to the higher initial intensity. The observations from Isla Clarion also suggest the gust factor is a little higher than normal, and this is indicated in the Forecast/Advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1130Z 18.0N 115.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 25/1800Z 18.1N 115.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 26/0600Z 18.2N 117.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 26/1800Z 18.1N 118.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/0600Z 17.7N 120.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 27/1800Z 17.2N 121.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hagen/Berg
Tropical Storm Bud Forecast Discussion

25
Jul