Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory


314 
WTNT22 KNHC 011454
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
1500 UTC FRI JUL 01 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST.

THE GOVERNMENT OF COSTA RICA HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE PACIFIC COAST.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES COLOMBIA
* LIMON COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO SANDY BAY SIRPI NICARAGUA
* CABO BLANCO COSTA RICA NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA AND
HONDURAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG BOTH THE CARIBBEAN AND PACIFIC COASTS OF
NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA...AS WELL AS THE PACIFIC COASTS OF EL
SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHERN MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  81.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  81.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  80.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 11.0N  83.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  20SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 11.0N  85.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 11.1N  88.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 11.7N  90.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 12.5N  93.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.4N  96.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.1N 102.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N 107.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  81.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT/CANGIALOSI





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