Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031445
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
1500 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  92.4W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  92.4W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  91.7W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 12.5N  94.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.3N  97.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.1N 100.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.9N 103.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.4N 105.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.7N 108.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.2N 112.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.0N 117.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N  92.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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