Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Bonnie Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 030233
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
0300 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  89.5W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  89.5W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  88.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 11.6N  91.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 12.4N  94.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.2N  97.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.1N 100.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.1N 103.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.6N 105.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N 110.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 16.3N 114.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  89.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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