Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Blas Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ22 KNHC 141456
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
1500 UTC TUE JUN 14 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 102.1W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 102.1W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 102.1W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.2N 102.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.6N 102.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.9N 103.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.4N 104.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.6N 108.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 17.9N 111.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 18.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 102.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BUCCI




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