Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Agatha Forecast Advisory


600 
WTPZ21 KNHC 281432
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022
1500 UTC SAT MAY 28 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF AGATHA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  98.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  98.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  98.3W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.4N  98.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.8N  98.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.2N  98.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.8N  97.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.8N  96.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.8N  95.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  98.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 28/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





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