Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Twelve-E Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ22 KNHC 041447
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122022
1500 UTC SUN SEP 04 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 101.4W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 101.4W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 100.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N 103.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.6N 105.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.3N 106.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.8N 110.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.6N 112.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 27.3N 114.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 101.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




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