Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Depression Three-E Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-07-31 10:41:57



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
1500 UTC WED JUL 31 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 106.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.7N 108.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.3N 110.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.7N 112.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 117.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 107.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN




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