Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPZ13 KNHC 152051
PWSEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132022               
2100 UTC THU SEP 15 2022                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  11(21)   X(21)   X(21)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 100W       34  X   1( 1)  15(16)  14(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
15N 100W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
15N 100W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

ACAPULCO       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  22(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
ACAPULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

P MALDONADO    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

P ANGEL        34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    



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