548 WTPZ33 KNHC 160551 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132022 100 AM CDT Fri Sep 16 2022 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.0N 95.6W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Laguna de Chacahua westward to Zihuatanejo A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning will likely be required for portions of the watch area later today. Interests elsewhere along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 95.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is expected to move near or over the coast of southwestern Mexico Saturday or Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The system is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3-6 inches with local totals of 10 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican States of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and possibly Jalisco through Sunday. These rains may produce flash and urban flooding, along with isolated mudslides in areas of higher terrain near the coast. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area beginning early Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico later today and continue into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Bucci