Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Public Advisory


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 101440
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162021
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...
...COULD IMPACT A PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST BY MIDWEEK AS A 
HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 104.7W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM S OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression 
Sixteen-E was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 104.7 
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph 
(30 km/h), and this motion at a slower forward speed is expected 
through tonight. A turn to the northwest and then north is forecast 
to occur Monday into Tuesday, followed by a turn to the northeast by 
Tuesday night.  On the forecast track, the system will pass south of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Tuesday night 
and approach the coast of west-central mainland Mexico on 
Wednesday. 

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Strengthening is forecast over the next few days and the depression 
is expected to become a tropical storm later today and a hurricane 
by Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Latto



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