Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 101439
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162021
1500 UTC SUN OCT 10 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.7W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.7W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 104.1W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.4N 106.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.0N 108.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.1N 109.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.4N 110.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.8N 109.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 26.3N 105.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 104.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO




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