000
FOPZ12 KNHC 221453
PWSEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172021
1500 UTC FRI OCT 22 2021
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 6(17)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
10N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 105W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 13(24) 17(41) 2(43) X(43)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 21(29) 3(32)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 20(26) 24(50) 3(53)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 2(19)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
L CARDENAS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 32(48) 8(56) 1(57)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 11(17) 24(41) 4(45) 1(46)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
10N 100W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
15N 100W 34 1 6( 7) 11(18) 6(24) 5(29) 1(30) X(30)
15N 100W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21)
P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
$$
FORECASTER LATTO