Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Rose Forecast Advisory


971 
WTNT22 KNHC 220238
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172021
0300 UTC WED SEP 22 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  37.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  37.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  37.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.9N  38.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  40.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.3N  41.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.6N  41.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.9N  40.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.7N  37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.3N  32.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  37.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN





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