Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression One-E Public Advisory


962 
WTPZ31 KNHC 280248
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
1000 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS...
...FORECAST TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE 
EARLY NEXT WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.8N 97.9W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of 
the depression.  Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches will likely be 
required for portions of the coast of southern Mexico Saturday 
morning.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 97.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h).  This 
general motion is expected to continue through early Saturday, 
followed by a slow turn to the north later this weekend and then a 
slightly faster northeastward motion on Monday.  On the forecast 
track, the center of the cyclone is forecast to approach the coast 
of southern Mexico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the 
cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm early Saturday and a 
hurricane on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression One-E is expected produce heavy 
rains over portions of the southern Mexican states of Oaxaca, 
Chiapas, and eastern Guerrero through Tuesday night.  Rainfall 
totals of 6 to 12 inches are expected with isolated maximum amounts 
of 16 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and 
mudslides may occur.  Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are 
expected with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible over 
portions of the southern Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart




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