Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression One-E Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 280247
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022
0300 UTC SAT MAY 28 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THE DEPRESSION.  TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE 
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO ON SATURDAY 
MORNING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  97.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  97.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  97.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.8N  98.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.2N  98.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.7N  98.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.2N  98.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.7N  98.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.7N  96.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 17.2N  95.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  97.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART




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