Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Public Advisory


000
WTPZ34 KNHC 200239
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192022
1000 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2022

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 101.3W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the coasts of southwestern and west-central Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Nineteen-E was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 101.3
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph
(7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the 
next couple of days. A gradual turn toward the northwest and 
north-northwest is forecast on Saturday. On the forecast track, the 
center of the cyclone is expected to move roughly parallel to the 
coast of southwestern Mexico through Friday night, then pass near 
the coasts of southwestern and west-central Mexico on Saturday and 
Saturday night. 

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and the system 
is forecast to become a tropical storm tomorrow and a hurricane by 
late Friday or Friday night. 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart



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