Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPZ14 KNHC 070833
PWSEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092022               
0900 UTC SUN AUG 07 2022                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

20N 110W       34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  2  24(26)   X(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   2( 2)  12(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)  28(29)  18(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
20N 115W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BUCCI/BROWN                                              



Source link