Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory

566 
WTPZ24 KNHC 121530
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092024
1500 UTC THU SEP 12 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.6W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.6W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 107.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 20.4N 108.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 23.5N 110.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 26.1N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.0N 110.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 28.6N 111.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 107.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 12/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN