830 WTPZ31 KNHC 012034 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112022 300 PM MDT Thu Sep 01 2022 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA COAST... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 110.5W ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 110.5 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion with some increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by the depression are expected to affect portions of the southern and central Baja California peninsula. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Eleven-E is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with isolated storm totals of 3 inches across southern portions of Baja California Sur through Friday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi