Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Advisory


173 
WTPZ21 KNHC 012141
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1...AMENDED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112022
2100 UTC THU SEP 01 2022

AMENDED TO INCLUDE INITIAL 12 FT SEA RADII

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.5W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.5W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 110.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.9N 111.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE  70SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.4N 112.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.1N 114.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.5N 116.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.4N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 25.8N 121.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.6N 126.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 24.9N 130.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 110.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN





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