000
FOPZ13 KNHC 050244
PWSEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182021
0300 UTC FRI NOV 05 2021
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 9.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 2(29)
10N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
10N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 1(16) X(16)
10N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
10N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
10N 95W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27)
CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
CLIPPERTON IS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25)
10N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
10N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
10N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN