Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Eighteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPZ13 KNHC 070842
PWSEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182021               
0900 UTC SUN NOV 07 2021                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 8.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

10N 105W       34  X   6( 6)   6(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CLIPPERTON IS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

10N 110W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   7(28)   X(28)   X(28)
10N 110W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
10N 110W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

10N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)   X(16)
10N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

10N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  



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