Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Discussion

873 
WTPZ44 KNHC 052033
TCDEP4

Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042024
200 PM PDT Mon Aug 05 2024

A recent ASCAT-B pass over Daniel this afternoon revealed that
Daniel barely has a closed circulation and its maximum winds
have decreased to 30 kt, making Daniel a tropical depression.
Daniel's convective organization is also lacking, but it has
produced persistent deep convection over its center for the past
several hours.

Little change was made to the NHC forecast. Daniel should 
weaken and wrap cyclonically around the larger and more robust 
circulation of Carlotta during the next couple of days. Global 
models indicate that Daniel could open into a trough at any time, 
Even if it maintains its circulation, its unlikely to maintain its 
organized deep convection beyond tonight. Therefore the largest 
change in the NHC forecast is to show Daniel becoming a remnant low 
tonight or early tomorrow and dissipating soon after that.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/2100Z 16.2N 126.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  06/0600Z 17.3N 125.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  06/1800Z 18.4N 126.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  07/0600Z 19.4N 127.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  07/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky/Camposano