000
FOPZ13 KNHC 192043
PWSEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032022
2100 UTC SUN JUN 19 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9)
15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) 6(41)
15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
10N 100W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25)
15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN