109 WTPZ43 KNHC 281448 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Celia Discussion Number 48 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032022 800 AM PDT Tue Jun 28 2022 The slow but steady decay of Celia has continued this morning. The coldest cloud tops near the center of Celia have warmed to around -40 deg C, a sign that it is no longer producing organized deep convection. The depression is moving over water colder than 22 deg C, so further decay is inevitable. It is likely that Celia will become a post-tropical remnant low later today. The estimated intensity remains 30 kt for this advisory. Weakening is likely during the next few days while Celia is steered west-northwestward by a ridge extending southwest from the southwestern United States. Various dynamical models indicate that Celia will dissipate into a trough in about 2-3 days. No changes of note were made to the NHC forecast, which is near the multi-model consensus for both track and intensity. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 22.3N 120.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 23.0N 121.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 29/1200Z 23.7N 123.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0000Z 24.2N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 24.6N 126.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky