Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Depression Celia Forecast Advisory



562 
WTPZ23 KNHC 180250
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0300 UTC SAT JUN 18 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  89.1W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  89.1W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  89.1W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.3N  89.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 12.3N  90.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.0N  91.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.7N  92.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.6N  94.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.9N  96.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 12.8N 101.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 13.9N 104.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N  89.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE





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