Pacific Hurricane Feed

Tropical Depression Celia Forecast Advisory



000
WTPZ23 KNHC 190259
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0300 UTC SUN JUN 19 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  90.5W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  90.5W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  90.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.8N  91.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.2N  94.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.1N  96.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.4N  98.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.9N 100.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 13.9N 104.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 15.3N 107.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  90.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE




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