Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Celia Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 210841
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0900 UTC TUE JUN 21 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  98.5W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  98.5W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  98.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.0N 100.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.5N 102.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.2N 104.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.1N 105.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.8N 108.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  98.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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