Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Depression Agatha Public Advisory


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 311144
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Agatha Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
700 AM CDT Tue May 31 2022

...HEAVY RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 95.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued all Tropical Storm
Warnings.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Agatha 
was located inland over southern Mexico near latitude 17.0 North,
longitude 95.3 West.  Agatha is moving toward the northeast near 8
mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
today.  On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will continue to
move farther inland over southern Mexico this morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Further weakening is expected, and Agatha is
forecast to dissipate over southern Mexico by this afternoon.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible along the 
coast of southern Mexico through this morning.

RAINFALL:  Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through tonight. The following storm total rainfall amounts
are currently expected:

Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.

Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.

Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico through today.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown/Bucci



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