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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 99

Published Date and Time: 2025-02-15 18:51:00












Mesoscale Discussion 99
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0099
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0549 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025

   Areas affected...Lower Mississippi Valley

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 8...

   Valid 152349Z - 160115Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 8 continues.

   SUMMARY...Pre-frontal supercells may mature over the next few hours
   as they track across northeast LA into west-central MS. Tornado risk
   will increase if this occurs. Will continue to monitor for possible
   Tornado Watch immediately downstream into Mississippi.

   DISCUSSION...Over the last hour or so, pre-frontal convection has
   gradually increased across central into northeast LA, especially
   from Rapides to Caldwell Parish. This activity is not too organized
   at this time but there is some concern these storms may continue to
   mature within a strongly sheared environment, immediately ahead of
   the frontal convection. If so, tornado risk may increase
   accordingly.

   ..Darrow.. 02/15/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   32219222 33319116 32579049 31089223 32219222 


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